After a quiet start, the Yankees’ offseason finally has gotten going, and they’ve moved to fill two of their biggest needs by
Let’s talk about something smaller, though not unimportant: What about a lefty hitter?
At the moment, they could really use one.
Right now, the Yankees have 17 position players on their 40-man roster. Eleven of them hit right-handed. Two of them, outfielders
Of course, they didn’t have a strong lefty hitter last year, either, and it didn’t stop them from scoring the fourth-most runs in baseball. In 2020, the Yankees took only 618 plate appearances from the left side of the plate, the fewest in baseball. But now they really don’t have one, because the man who took the most of those lefty plate appearances,
They’re so right-handed, in fact, that the projected lineup looks like this:
Hicks aside, don’t spend too much time looking for the “L” for “left-handed,” because you won’t find one. (Note, also, this doesn’t even include righty bench bats
They’re so right-handed that if you look at all of the projected Yankees plate appearances for 2020, including a few non-roster invitees not on the 40-man roster, and you project the switch-hitters to take 70% of their plate appearances from the left side (a number chosen since that’s what Hicks’ career has looked like), you get a split that looks like this:
Right-handed hitters: 85% of plate appearances
Left-handed hitters: 15%
It won’t play out exactly like that, obviously, but if you’re wondering if any team has ever done that before, the answer is “yes, but you don’t want to be on the list.”
Lowest percentage of left-handed plate appearances
12.2% — 1970 Padres
13.5% — 1969 Padres
14.7% — 1944 Reds
16.2% — 1993 Rockies
16.6% — 1945 Reds
That’s three first- or second-year expansion teams, and the wartime Reds. Four of these five clubs lost 90 games or more. Even if it’s not possible for a team as talented as the 2021 Yankees to do this, still, don’t do this.
Somewhat hilariously, it was only six years ago when the 2015 Yankees — the team of lefties
So: Who should it be? It can’t just be any lefty, to be sure. There’s no point in having one just to have one. General manager Brian Cashman said as much on MLB Network Radio on SiriusXM in December, accurately pointing out that “ultimately, what you don’t want to do is remove the high-end bat — whether it’s an elite hitter or an above-average right-handed hitter — from your lineup and drop down a category or two just because you’re trying to insert the left-handed bat and now all of a sudden you’re not as good because of it.”
That sounds right to us, so it can’t just be “a lefty bat.” It’s got to be one that fits, that is worth the roster spot. Let’s go find one:
The reunion with an old friend: Gardner
We’ll start with this because it’s the simplest and most obvious, since Gardner has been a part of the Yankees organization since being drafted in 2005, and he has shown little indication that he wants to play elsewhere. Aside from being well-proven in the Bronx and popular with the fans, Gardner is still productive. Despite a career-low .223 batting average in ’20, Gardner’s excellent 16.5% walk rate (and .354 OBP) still gave him a 108 OPS+, making him slightly above average, and similar to the 103 OPS+ he put up from ’17-19.
As Gardner nears his 38th birthday, he wouldn’t likely be expecting an everyday job or more than a one-year deal, and he’s still a competent defender in left field and center, so it’s not hard to see this at all. The issue, perhaps, is that the roster fit isn’t as obvious as it once was. A year ago,
The lefty that plasters righty pitching: Pederson
Look, if you’re going to get a lefty, it might as well be one who is an absolute masher when he’s put in the right spots, right? And if that lefty masher is only any good against righty pitching and is all but unplayable against lefties, well, what better lineup to put him in than one that is so righty-heavy they could ensure he’d never have to face a lefty?
But set 2020 aside, as we’re doing for so many others, and look at Pederson’s numbers from ’15-19, comprising the bulk of his Major League career. Against righty pitching, he posted a .353 OBP and a .512 slugging, a line about 30% better than average, better than Marcell Ozuna and similar to George Springer. It is, among players with 1,000 plate appearances against righties in that time, a top-30 line. It’s really good.
Against lefty pitching … well, it’s not great. His .190/.264/.314 line from 2015-19 gives him one of the largest platoon splits on historical record. But on this team, he’d never need to face a southpaw, and you’d certainly enjoy seeing his pull-heavy spray chart at Yankee Stadium. Pederson isn’t as good a fielder as Gardner, but he can play right field, and he offers a more diverse skillset than Tauchman or Gardner. There’s a lot to like about this one.
The lefty that adds elite contact skills: La Stella
When you have high-powered sluggers like
Still, it’s nice to make more contact, and having just returned the hitter with 2020’s second-lowest strikeout rate (LeMahieu, 9.7%), they could potentially also add the player with the season’s lowest strikeout rate in
Like Pederson, he has large platoon splits (over the past three years, his OPS vs. lefties is .628, while it’s .835 against righties), though again, the Yankees would never need him to face a lefty, and over the past two seasons, he’s been the 12th-best lefty-on-righty hitter in baseball. While he’s not a strong defender, his ability to fill in at first, second and third base — in addition to LeMahieu being able to do the same things, just better — would give manager Aaron Boone considerable flexibility. As a bonus, La Stella grew up as a Yankees fan in northern New Jersey.
The familiar lefty who would require a big trade: Gregorius
If there’s a mild downside to LeMahieu’s return, it’s that they no longer have the option of moving
If they did that, maybe they go all-in on defense with
Now, this isn’t without risk. Gregorius is a better fielder than Torres is, but the defensive metrics haven’t exactly loved him either. He did manage to put up a 119 OPS+ for the Phillies, but the Yankees would surely be wary of his continually below-average hard-hit rate. This is probably something you do for only one season, while you wait for next winter’s
But this would certainly be popular with Yankees fans, and it likely would upgrade the middle-infield defense, as well as adding that lefty bat. Maybe this is just too many moving parts to really happen. It remains an option, though.
Again, the Yankees don’t absolutely need a lefty hitter. They certainly have done well enough the past few years without one, aside from Gardner and Hicks. But when it comes to the playoffs, when the other team is mixing and matching platoon situations as much as it can — like, say, the Rays — wouldn’t it be nice to have something to answer with?
Mike Petriello is an analyst for MLB.com and the host of the Ballpark Dimensions podcast.